Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#210
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#231
Pace67.9#233
Improvement+5.4#11

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#184
First Shot-0.3#184
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#199
Layup/Dunks-4.7#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#25
Freethrows-3.6#341
Improvement+4.2#18

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#241
First Shot-3.9#288
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#58
Layups/Dunks+2.3#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#328
Freethrows-1.3#260
Improvement+1.2#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 21, 2015 173   @ Central Florida L 54-65 30%     0 - 1 -8.8 -13.2 +3.8
  Nov 27, 2015 212   Navy L 66-70 62%     0 - 2 -10.2 -9.4 -0.6
  Nov 28, 2015 132   Purdue Fort Wayne L 58-64 40%     0 - 3 -6.6 -16.1 +9.2
  Nov 29, 2015 273   Jacksonville W 71-69 75%     1 - 3 -8.1 -4.3 -3.7
  Dec 02, 2015 337   @ N.C. A&T L 68-77 76%     1 - 4 -19.6 -10.8 -8.8
  Dec 09, 2015 149   @ High Point L 72-90 25%     1 - 5 -14.1 -2.1 -12.0
  Dec 15, 2015 111   @ Wake Forest L 71-81 17%     1 - 6 -3.2 -3.6 +1.2
  Dec 19, 2015 156   @ Elon L 69-79 27%     1 - 7 -6.6 -7.4 +1.4
  Dec 22, 2015 74   @ North Carolina St. L 52-58 11%     1 - 8 +4.6 -13.8 +17.9
  Dec 28, 2015 3   @ North Carolina L 63-96 2%     1 - 9 -9.9 +1.2 -11.4
  Jan 02, 2016 187   @ Wofford L 76-87 33%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -9.6 +3.4 -13.2
  Jan 05, 2016 168   Furman W 67-66 51%     2 - 10 1 - 1 -2.4 -6.1 +3.7
  Jan 09, 2016 155   @ East Tennessee St. L 83-86 26%     2 - 11 1 - 2 +0.6 +9.1 -8.5
  Jan 11, 2016 194   @ Western Carolina L 77-83 OT 35%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -5.1 +2.2 -7.0
  Jan 17, 2016 304   VMI W 85-68 81%     3 - 12 2 - 3 +4.7 +8.9 -3.7
  Jan 21, 2016 106   Chattanooga L 60-73 32%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -11.3 -4.2 -8.6
  Jan 24, 2016 224   Samford W 86-78 63%     4 - 13 3 - 4 +1.4 +5.9 -4.9
  Jan 28, 2016 323   @ The Citadel W 102-95 70%     5 - 13 4 - 4 -1.5 +3.8 -6.6
  Jan 30, 2016 190   @ Mercer L 67-81 34%     5 - 14 4 - 5 -12.9 -3.0 -10.7
  Feb 04, 2016 194   Western Carolina W 75-58 57%     6 - 14 5 - 5 +12.0 +0.4 +11.6
  Feb 06, 2016 155   East Tennessee St. L 65-68 35%     6 - 15 5 - 6 -2.3 -2.4 -0.3
  Feb 08, 2016 168   @ Furman L 72-79 30%     6 - 16 5 - 7 -4.6 +1.7 -6.5
  Feb 11, 2016 304   @ VMI L 72-86 63%     6 - 17 5 - 8 -20.4 -5.5 -14.6
  Feb 15, 2016 187   Wofford W 65-61 55%     7 - 17 6 - 8 -0.4 -5.9 +5.9
  Feb 18, 2016 224   @ Samford W 82-77 OT 41%     8 - 17 7 - 8 +4.2 -5.2 +8.6
  Feb 20, 2016 106   @ Chattanooga W 79-64 16%     9 - 17 8 - 8 +22.5 +19.7 +4.5
  Feb 25, 2016 323   The Citadel W 92-63 85%     10 - 17 9 - 8 +14.7 -3.1 +14.0
  Feb 28, 2016 190   Mercer W 69-65 56%     11 - 17 10 - 8 -0.7 -2.5 +2.1
  Mar 05, 2016 168   Furman L 64-80 40%     11 - 18 -16.5 -5.0 -12.8
Projected Record 11.0 - 18.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%